Showing posts tagged Iran

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Posted at 12:56am
Tagged Iran war oil wars nuclear threat WMD


Terror 2012: Be Very Afraid - War with Iran Update: Feb 2nd

Currently, if you believe the news, THERE IS A LOT TO BE AFRAID OF.  Fear has been a constant in the US since 9/11 and the creation and manipulation of the fears of the average American has become a powerful tool that is used daily to justify a staggering number of atrocities and infringements on our rights.

Terrorists are old hat after Osama bit the dust, but we still have doubled the number of people on the no-fly lists in the past year. 

The U.S. government’s list of suspected terrorists who are banned from flying to the United States or within its borders has more than doubled over the past year, a counterterrorism official told CNN Thursday.

The “no fly” list produced by the FBI now has approximately 21,000 names on it, according to the official, who has knowledge of the government’s figures. One year ago about 10,000 individuals were on it.

Only about 500 people currently on the no-fly list are Americans, the official said.

But we have even bigger Villains now! If you haven’t noticed Iran is in the news daily.  

The latest annual US Intelligence community’s threat assessment report had this to say:

As for Iran, the report said it will attempt to “undermine any strategic partnership between the United States and Afghanistan” and it continues to play a destabilizing role across the globe. The report cites the plot last year to kill the Saudi ambassador to the United States and concern about “Iranian plotting against U.S. or allied interests.”

 ”The 2011 plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the United States shows that some Iranian officials - probably including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei - have changed their calculus and are now more willing to conduct an attack in the United States in response to real or perceived U.S. actions that threaten the regime,” the report said.

If you remember the supposed plot to kill the Saudi ambassador, then you should consider how bogus that whole scenario was and view it as more pretense to begin the move up to war with Iran.

But Clapper goes on to say:

Iran has the technical ability to build a nuclear weapon, Clapper said. But he, CIA Director David Petraeus and others reasserted their stance that Iran is not building nuclear weapons, [WTF??] in subtle contrast to Israeli officials’ statements that Iran could have nuclear capability within a year.

That was just the opening volley - the stories grow by the day.

Today the Washington Post’s David Ignatius wrote that U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta “believes there is strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June - before Iran enters what Israelis described as a ‘zone of immunity’ to commence building a nuclear bomb.”

In fact Israel may very well do that. They are dying to get U.S. permission to do so, but they could decide to go at it on their own even if it risks hurting their ties with the US and the billions of dollars we give them.  

This week Israel, in an effort to stoke the fear and pressure the US to take action, said that:

Iran is developing a missile capable of delivering payloads up to 10,000 kilometers (6,200 miles) away, Israel’s vice prime minister charged Thursday.

Speaking to Israel’s annual Herzliya national security conference, Moshe Ya’alon, who also serves as Israel’s minister for strategic affairs, suggested that an Iranian military compound that mysteriously blew up late last year was developing a long-range missile capable of hitting the United States.

Ya’alon said the project was “aimed at America, not us” and said it served as further argument that Iran posed a “military problem” that needed to be stopped.

Today Israeli Military Intelligence Chief Major General Aviv Kochavi said:

Iran has completed the development of a nuclear weapon and awaits nothing more than a sign from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to start assembling its first nuclear bomb.  

by the end of 2012 or early 2013 Iran may have a single nuclear bomb, but by 2015 the figure would jump to four or five.

The officer was essentially amplifying the words of his predecessor, Maj. Gen. (res.) Amos Yadlin, who said on Jan. 26 that as long ago as 2007 or 2008, Iran had already passed the point of no return in developing nuclear weapons.  

His comments coincided with the findings published Thursday by the Enterprise Institute, an American think tank, that Iran would be able to manufacture a 15-kiloton nuclear bomb as soon as August of this year, just seven months from now.

Along the same lines, responding to YET ANOTHER fucking think tank, the chairman of the House intelligence committee told CNN that the U.S. military needs to do more to “scare” Iran away from pursuing nuclear weapons.

Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Michigan, made the comment in response to a question about a new report by the Bipartisan Policy Center that says the United States must put more teeth into its threat to use military power to stop Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

In an interview with CNN, Rogers said more needs to be done: “I’m not saying we ought to bomb Iran, but you almost have to scare them, you have to frighten them to get to the right place.”

In order to stop Iran’s nuclear clock, the report said, the United States “needs to make clear that Iran faces a choice: it can either abandon its nuclear program through a negotiated arrangement or have its program destroyed militarily, by the United States.” 

Yesterday SHTFPlan reported on a DEBKAFile story about a large massing of US troops on several islands in the GULF.  

President Barack Obama is reported exclusively by DEBKA-Net-Weekly’s military and Washington sources to have secretly ordered US air, naval and marine forces to build up heavy concentrations on two strategic islands –Socotra, which is part of a Yemeni archipelago in the Indian Ocean, and the Omani island of Masirah at the southern exit of the Strait of Hormuz.

Since 2010, the US has been quietly building giant air force and naval bases on Socotra with facilities for submarines, intelligence command centers and take-off pads for flying stealth drones, as part of a linked chain of strategic US military facilities in the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf.

Like any article that can’t name sources I take it with a grain of salt. If this is true, then another Middle Eastern Oil War is just around the corner.

Whether or not this is viable information, Iran is squarely in the cross-hairs of Israel and the U.S. right now.  

I don’t pretend to understand all of the motivations and political interests at stake, I’m just watching the rhetoric and where it is leading.  You know what happened the last time we went after WMD’s and what a crock of shit that turned out to be.

Question everything. Don’t believe the hype. Why would Iran be stupid enough to attack the US?  They aren’t as crazy as Al Queda - we KNOW where they live and we DO have nuclear weapons.  Lots of them.


Is War with Iran inevitable?

This is the question CNN asked 5 experts on Iran and Middle Eastern politics.  You should read their full responses, but I have highlighted some quotes that seem to capture the things they agree on.  To answer the question, they all agree that war doesn’t have to happen but that the situation is volatile enough that it could happen quickly if any sort of escalation event set things in motion. 

All of this talk of war based on supposed possession of weapons of mass destruction reminds me of our entry into war in Iraq.  We’re being prepped for the next war.  

"As long as (the Iranians) shirk their responsibilities, this pressure will not relent," U.S. President Barack Obama said Tuesday night in his State of the Union speech. "Let there be no doubt: America is determined to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon, and I will take no options off the table to achieve that goal. But a peaceful resolution of this issue is still possible, and far better."

Last week, Obama’s former national security adviser said he thought this could be the year that things finally come to a head.

"I think 2012 has seen itself as the year that Iran has got to be dealt with one way or the other," said James L. Jones, speaking at a panel discussion in Washington.

Shireen T. Hunter 

"The two sides are moving perilously close to a situation where there seems to be only one option left: military confrontation. But war doesn’t have to be inevitable."

Meir Javedanfar 

"This will be the year that Khamenei will have to make a decision about Iran’s nuclear program."

Jon B. Alterman

"While the possibility remains that one side will pursue a limited war, it is more likely that the sides will stumble into a war that no side is seeking. Given the high alert on all sides, a rogue action or even a mistaken one can quickly turn into a shooting war."

Kelly Golnoush Niknejad

This heightened tension is very dangerous, especially given the lack of diplomatic relations between Iran and the United States. There is no hot line. There is no real channel of communication like there was with the Soviet Union during the height of the Cold War. A misunderstanding or miscalculation may lead to a war.”

Patrick Clawson

Both Iran and the United States have approached the nuclear issue as a marathon, not as a sprint. But the finish line is in sight.

After 20 years of dispute, 2012 may well show whether Washington’s or Tehran’s approach has been more successful.

Within a few years, Iran will be treated by the world as a country that, if it does not already have nuclear warheads atop its missiles, could quickly do so. As that point nears, Iran has less reason to negotiate over the nuclear issue.”

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Posted at 12:04am
Tagged Iran WWIII middle east nuclear war war


Sabotage, bombings, sanctions: A growing web of pressure over Iran

I’ve been quiet for a while, but I’m still here. If you haven’t noticed Iran is in the crosshairs.  The mainstream media reports on it daily with increasingly aggressive language regarding intervention and possible war. A war with Iran would involve Israel and Europe and would likely force Russia and China’s hand. North Korea, well, consider them the crazy cousin…who knows what they’ll do.

This blog is my environmental scan.  I watch for signs, trends, things that appear and stay for while.  Right now aggression toward Iran is trending. Iran is a wild-card, but I don’t buy the WMD bullshit easily after the line Bush fed us with regard to Iraq. Fear is a strong motivator.

That being said, we’re already in a Cold War with Iran.  

Iran is facing an extensive and growing international campaign aimed at destabilizing its regime.

The web of pressure includes not only the openly acknowledged moves, such as sanctions, but also mysterious incidents that include assassinations, explosions, and computerized sabotage, according to analysts who follow the country closely.

While the overt actions are spearheaded largely by the United States and allies, and quickly encompass more and more countries across the globe, just who is behind the covert activities and why remains a mystery.

In some cases, Iran blames Israel. Israel generally does not comment on such speculation.

Read the full article on CNN

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Posted at 10:53pm
Tagged WW3 Iran SHTF


Iran’s largest lake turning into salt flats

From a hillside, Kamal Saadat looked forlornly at hundreds of potential customers, knowing he could not take them for trips in his boat to enjoy a spring weekend on picturesque Oroumieh Lake, the third largest saltwater lake on earth.

"Look, the boat is stuck… It cannot move anymore," said Saadat, gesturing to where it lay encased by solidifying salt and lamenting that he could not understand why the lake was fading away.

The long popular lake, home to migrating flamingos, pelicans and gulls, has shrunken by 60 percent and could disappear entirely in just a few years, experts say — drained by drought, misguided irrigation policies, development and the damming of rivers that feed it.

Official reports blame the drying mainly on a decade-long drought, and peripherally on consumption of water of the feeding rivers for farming. They put 5 percent of the blame on construction of dams and 3 percent on other factors. Others disagree about the relative blame.

The first alarm over the lake’s shrinking came in late 1990s amid a nagging drought.

Nonetheless, the government continued construction of 35 dams on the rivers which feed the lake; 10 more dams are on the drawing boards for the next few years.  Read more


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Posted at 11:41pm
Tagged Israel Iran Suez Canal Middle East


Posted at 9:54am
Tagged protests riots Iran Freedom fighters